Tebowmania rolled in to New York last off-season and now is on its way out
when Tim Tebow was released by the New York Jets shortly after the 2013 NFL
Draft finished. While it may be a relief for Tebow that his torrid time in the
big apple is over it is safe to say that the effects of last season are putting
teams off of signing him to their roster which has now left doubts over him having
a future in the NFL.
Tebow has had many critics over his ability to throw the football, his
presence in the locker room and his potential to establish himself as a
quarterback in the national football league. Now as we know in the NFL it is
all about winning games and that applies to every single player on a roster to
the coaching staff and to anyone throughout an organisation. Whoever doesn't do
his job is quite usually given their marching orders but Tim Tebow has always
given 100%.
Being left handed QB in the NFL seems to automatically bring you scepticism
over your ability to throw the ball as people have claimed there seems to be a
weird looking motion when a 'lefty' throws the ball. A strange case that
probably doesn't quite add up but considering right handers are a lot more
likely considering the right to left hand ratio on the planet. Back to football
and after conducting some research there have only ever been 43 left handed
QB's in the league since 1942 with some not even taking a snap or in Armanti
Edwards' case where he switched to wide receiver after just two passing
attempts (0 completions) and still remains a part of the Carolina Panthers
after being drafted in 2010. Only two left handed quarterbacks have ever won a
Super Bowl; Ken Stabler of the Oakland Raiders at Super Bowl XI and Steve Young
of the San Francisco 49ers who guided his team to three Super Bowls wins making
him a part of the NFL Hall of Fame for his achievements.
So we know how hard it is to be a successful quarterback in the NFL
especially if you are left handed. Now in Tim Tebow's case we know many of the
odds were stacked against him and his criticism over the past 18 months has
proven that. Tebow played for the Florida Gators in college where he won the
Heisman trophy in 2007 and was a nominated finalist in 2008 & 2009. The
2008 season saw him guide the team to the BCS Championship and in 2009 he led
the team to a 13-1 record. Tebow came in to the league in the 2010 NFL Draft
and was selected by the Denver Broncos with his hard work and determination
helping him to achieve great success on the field against all odds despite all
the criticism thrown at him especially during his spell as the starting QB for
the Bronco's which saw him pull off amazing feats over his 11 games as their
starter and guiding them to the playoffs.
In that 2011 season the Denver Broncos were 1-4 when Tebow was announced as
the team's starting quarterback for their next game against the Dolphins. They
were down 15-0 before rallying back to win 18-15 in overtime making the Broncos
the first NFL team in history to win a game after being down by at least 15
points with less than three minutes remaining to play in a match. The team were
blown out 45-10 a week later against the Lions bringing them back down to earth
and leaving them 2-5 with 10 games remaining. A week later Tebow threw two
touchdown passes for 124 yards and rushed for 117 yards in a 38-24 win against
divisional rivals the Oakland Raiders to get Denver back to winning ways. In
week 10 of the season Tebow guided the Broncos to another win over a divisional
rival despite only completing two out of his eight attempted passes in the game
as the Broncos defeated the Chiefs taking the team to 4-5. His 56 yard game
winning touchdown pass to Eric Decker was only his second pass completion of
the day making Tebow just the fifth
quarterback since 1980 to throw all of his team's passes, complete two or fewer
and still win.
It's was those kind of games that give people the fuel to claim that Tebow
isn't good enough to play as an NFL quarterback but on that day against the
Chiefs he achieved his highest passer rating of 102.6 which he has only
surpassed twice since that win. 2 wins in a row became 3 when Tim Tebow and the
Broncos defeated the New York Jets on Thursday Night Football at home 17-13
which saw Tebow rush for a dramatic 20 yard rushing touchdown on a third down
play with less than a minute remaining. The following weeks game went to
overtime with Denver getting the win on the road against the Chargers 16-13;
Tebow's 22 rushing attempts for 67 yards on that day were the most by an NFL
quarterback since 1950 again putting a cloud over his ability to throw the
ball. Regardless of these theories the Broncos were on a roll and the wins over
the Jets and Chargers took Denver to 6-5 and to a winning record.
Their next game against the Vikings saw Tebow lead the team to their third
consecutive comeback victory of the season. The game finished 35-32 and Tebow's
performance was very impressive with the quarterback completing 10 of his 15
passing attempts for 202 yards and two touchdowns with no interceptions thrown.
He achieved the highest passer rating of his career to date, 149.3, which is
very good considering the perfect passer rating is 158.3. The win saw the
Broncos move on to 7-5 with 4 games remaining and the playoffs in site with the
team winning 6 of its 7 games since Tebow took. A week later saw Tebow and the
Broncos with their backs against the wall once again as the team trailed 10-0
with little over two minutes left in the game before tying it up 10-10 and
going on to win the game 13-10 in overtime.
Since the NFL merger Tim Tebow became the only player to have over five
game-winning drives in the fourth quarter or overtime in his first 11 starts
when he rallied the team from behind in the game against Chicago for his sixth
game-winning drive. The win over Chicago was Denver's sixth straight victory
but the team then fell to three straight defeats against the New England
Patriots, Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs with Tebow throwing just one
touchdown over those three games and four interceptions. His turnover rate
wasn't bad and thankfully for the Broncos their 8-8 record was good enough to
secure the team a spot in the playoffs as well as clinch their first AFC West
divisional title since 2005 and only their second divisional title since 1998.
Tebow headed in to the wildcard round with all odds against him as the
highly favoured Pittsburgh Steelers were predicted by many to walk over the
Broncos and send them packing. Executive vice president and hall of fame
quarterback John Elway said Tebow just had to "Pull the trigger" ahead of the first round
playoff game in which Tebow played quite possibly the best game of his career
as he threw for a career high 316 yards and two touchdowns which included the
game-winning throw to Demaryius Thomas for a 80 yard score on the first play of
overtime giving the Broncos the victory 29-23. Tebow set the Bronco's franchise
record for a quarterback rating in a playoff game of 125.6 in the game and most
notably gave Denver only their second playoff victory since John Elway retired
in 1999 following back to back Super Bowl wins and their first playoff win
since the 2006 victory over Tom Brady and the New England Patriots. In the
divisional round the Patriots proved to be too much for Tebow and the Broncos
as they blew them out 45-10 but Tebow was on top of the world as he had set the
NFL alight during the 2011 season.
From his critics to his success on the field it is impossible to sit on the
fence when talking about Tim Tebow. Off the field though his devotion to
Christianity is an inspiration to many and his autobiography Through My Eyes
was the bestselling religious book of 2011. The book was also named the number
as the number 1 sports book of 2011 and it spent 24 weeks on the New York Times
best seller list by March 2012. Tebow has always devoted time to the young
children of America with a edition of his book called Through My Eyes: A
Quarterback Journey released for younger readers. Even more impressive is
the fact that Tebow supports more than 40 national evangelists working in
America and he has shared his Christian faith to youth groups, schools,
prisons, churches as well as at press conferences and meetings. One thing’s for sure Tebow is a very humble young man and despite his rise
to fame in 2012 he has remained very dignified. His popularity rose so high
that "Tebowing" became a popular stance that football fans took
pictures of each other doing; kneeling on one knee and resting your head on
your first to take up a position of prayer. This started following the Broncos'
comeback victory against the Dolphins, as mentioned previously, and was
credited to a fan named Jared Kleinstein who posted a picture with himself and
his friends on Facebook mimicking the pose. Various different interpretations
of Tebowing were taken around the world and it was given its own website which
gathered 20 million page views and around 20,000 different photos submitted to
it. Tebow and Tebowing's popularity was confirmed when Tebowing was recognised
as a word in the English language due to its high level of worldwide usage
which is very similar to the word Obamamania used for current United States of
America President Barack Obama. The pose was even featured in the popular video
game Madden NFL 13.
Tebow like most sports stars has his critics but he also has a lot of people rooting for him to get another shot in the National Football League; Jacksonville Jaguar fans recently creating a petition and sending it to President Obama to convince him that the Jags needed Tebow but some other Jacksonville fans created a petition against signing Tebow today which kind of sums up his luck. Even
during his time as a Denver Bronco John Elway himself said on Tebow "It doesn't matter how you win it, as long as you win
it". I genuinely feel that Tim Tebow would have a chance to compete
for the Bills, Browns, Cardinals, Eagles, Jaguars, Raiders, Titans and Vikings.
Ironically the Jets are who he would have the best chance with considering how
bad their quarterback situation is but because of them wasting a year of his
career Tebow's NFL career may actually be over. Many people have suggested
Tebow should switch position if he is to carry on playing in the league but
considering how many All-Americans out of college don't make an NFL team why
would Tebow suddenly establish himself in the league as say a running back or
tight end.
Diving in to the world and life of Tim Tebow has been intriguing. With the
amount he's achieved on such little time on the field he should at least earn a
shot as a backup for a team. His statistics are up for debate with their being
so many pros and cons but you can't fault his attitude and character and in a
world plus the fact he is clutch in the fourth quarter and proven he has a a
knack for winning. Right now his chances of making an NFL roster look slim and that is mainly because of the media circus that surrounds him so no Head Coach is willing to take that risk which is unfortunate for a guy who has bundles of talent. His best shot at remaining in the NFL is probably
the New England Patriots as head coach Bill Belichick knows how to make the
most out of versatile athletes and use them for the benefit of his as well as
the player himself plus who better for Tebow to watch and learn from then one
of the greatest quarterback's to play the game in Tom Brady. Unfortunately for Tim sources today suggest otherwise regarding Tebow landing in New England but seeing as Patriots
offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels was the man who drafted Tebow out of
Florida during his time as head coach for the Broncos who knows. Tebow once said in an
interview that "My greatest joy in Denver is going to be to repay Coach
McDaniels for believing in me." and ironically now all he needs is someone
to believe in him.
Skye Laurence Pank 25 years old with my views on the National Football League. Previously written for Boston Sports Then And Now and had an article read by Sky Sports' own Kevin Cadle! Journalism and PR graduate.
Thursday, 9 May 2013
Sunday, 3 February 2013
Super Bowl 47
We are just hours away from Super Bowl 47 which pits the Baltimore Ravens up against the San Francisco 49ers as the two battle it out with the winner claiming the Vince Lombardi trophy.
This game has a lot of stories which include Ray Lewis playing his last ever game in the NFL as one of the greatest linebackers to play the game calls time on his long career hoping to go out on the ultimate high. The Ravens are appearing in their second Super Bowl with the first coming back in 2001 when Baltimore blew out in the Giants in a 34-7 win with Ray Lewis grabbing the Super Bowl MVP award on a memorable day for Baltimore. Also spare a thought for Baltimore wide receiver Torrey Smith who lost his brother early on in the season so he will be pumped up ahead of tonight's game.
Now you may have heard that the Ravens and 49ers head coaches are brothers so tonight's game is being dubbed as the "Harbaugh Bowl" as John and Jim go head to head in what will be a fascinating encounter as two of the league's best and brightest head coaches battle it out on the biggest stage of them all.
Now the loser will never near the end of it from their fellow sibling despite whatever may be said after the game in terms of modesty from the winning and losing head coach but it is worth noting that the San Francisco 49ers have never lost a Super Bowl with the team winning all five of the Super Bowl's that they have appeared in. Their last appearance in the big game though was 1994 so if has been a long wait for the franchise to reach the heights that use to come oh so natural to them back in the days of Joe Montana and Jerry Rice.
Keys:
With any big game there are always going to be key points that can determine or change the outcome of the match. Let's look at what I think are the key things to look out for tonight ranked in order of importance:
1. Defenses: Both of these teams have great defenses and as they say defence wins championships. The 49ers possess every sort of quality on this side of the ball. They have the ability to pass rush, great man coverage options and their secondary is second to none. From linebackers Patrick Willis and Aldon Smith to the super impressive Justin Smith to the likes of Carlos Rodgers and Dashon Goldson in the secondary all of these guys can make a game changing play and will feel like they deserve a Super Bowl ring. You bank on the 49ers forcing a turnover at some point tonight and the luxury of having a defense like this will take a lot of pressure off of the offense knowing that they can get it done on both sides of the ball.
As for the Ravens well they have been written off all year but a resurgent Ray Lewis has led Baltimore strongly as always and this time he has inspired as well as guided Baltimore back to the Super Bowl. The Ravens will do their utmost to try and make sure that Ray Lewis bows out of the sport in the greatest possible way. If they are to pull off yet another upset then this defense will need to keep the 49ers versatile offense in check so the likes of Ngata, Suggs and Lewis will have to muster up one more big performance to get the win. In the secondary they have the great Ed Reed and the hard hitting Bernard Pollard who can both change the game in the blink of an eye meaning that Baltimore's defense does have the talent as well as the experience to rival the Niners incredibly talented defense.
The key factors on defense will be who can come up with the big third down stops, who can force turnovers, most likely the 49ers, and who can be the most efficient in the red zone; most likely the Ravens who's red zone defense has saved them points time and time again during the playoffs.
2. Quarterbacks: Now it sounds obvious considering that the quarterback position has become undoubtedly the most important position on a football team but with Joe Flacco and Colin Kaepernick both getting ready for their first appearance in a Super Bowl and knowing that they'll have the chance to join the greats they will be nervous when stepping out on to the field in New Orleans. This may only be Kaepernick's first season starting as the 49ers QB and he only came in half way through the year but he has torn up many different types of defenses this year so when he goes up against the old Baltimore defense will this young, talented quarterback who has all the intangibles to succeed tear up the Ravens.
Now I would say that is quite possible but Baltimore has been written off throughout the playoffs and so has quaterback Joe Flacco. He has the ability to keep the Ravens in this game no matter how hot the heat gets in Super Bowl 47; we've seen Flacco call himself elite and he is one win away from being just that. During a Ravens playoff run which has seen Flacco knock off a superhuman like rookie and two future hall of fame quarterbacks who were playing some of the best football of their careers Flacco himself has completed 54.8% of his passes for 853 yards, eight touchdowns and zero interceptions, and compiled a 114.7 quarterback rating. Now that Flacco is putting up astronomical numbers especially when you consider the fact that he has thrown no interceptions despite going on the road to Denver and New England he is finally getting some of the recognition he deserves during this fine playoff run.
Now I think that Colin Kaepernick deserves a lot of respect too with him putting in some fine performances during his short time as San Francisco's quarterback. He has took this 49ers football team to the next level and while some people are criticising this young man's ability to throw the football I've seen him make some great plays and veteran like throws too since coming in at quarterback midway through the season. During a huge win over the Packers and a road game which saw them overcome a tough as well as underrated Atlanta Falcons team Kaepernick has completed 63.5% of his passes for 496 yards, 3 touchdowns and one interception. He didn't throw a pick on the road against Atlanta and helped his team rally back from 17-0 down to 17-14 only for them to go in behind at halftime 24-14. In that second quarter the Niners came up big all over the field and it was clear that Kaepernick was key in engineering the comeback which saw the Niners win the NFC Championship. Both these wins showed off all the qualities he has to offer as on the ground he is also great with this being proven when the young QB put up big numbers against Green Bay in the divisional round when he put up two scores for 181 yards whereas against the Falcons he had only two rushing attempts but in the air he completed 16/21 passing attempts for 233 yards and a score whilst using Frank Gore in the backfield to get it done and get the Niners in to tonight's game.
3. Kickers: Now the position of kicker is often undervalued in the National Football League but in a game like the Super Bowl which has seen so many close encounters tonight's game could come down to one last field goal attempt. Now why this is so key is because both of these teams have had problems with kickers in recent memory. The Ravens had Billy Cundiff to blame for missing out on a shot at overtime and the Super Bowl last season but this year they have rookie Justin Tucker who has excelled in his debut season. The undrafted rookie from Texas kicked 30 of his 33 attempts successfully during the regular season and came up with the game-winning field-goal in overtime on the road at Denver against the Broncos.
Now the 49ers are having some problems with their kicker David Akers being off the boil this year as he only completed 29 out of his 42 kicking attempts in the regular season and missed his 14th field goal of the season against the Falcons in the NFC Championship game which almost proved costly. His dip in form was so alarming to head coach Jim Harbaugh that he added no other than Billy Cundiff to the roster ahead of that game before deciding to stick with Akers.
Now going in to the biggest game of the season the Niners will hope that if Akers is called upon he comes up big whereas the Ravens have full confidence in their young kicker to get the job done.
4. Running backs: Ray Rice and Frank Gore go head to head as both to open up the passing game for their respective quarterback's or come up with the big play that would fulfil their dreams. Gore is a 4 time pro bowler and the 29 year older is appearing in his first Super Bowl. He has racked up 209 yards in the Niners two playoff games with his two scores against the Falcons getting the Niners over the line and in to the Super Bowl. In his 8 years as the 49ers running back Gore is one of the guys on the roster who has helped transform the team and deserves to be representing them tonight and you can expect him to come up big tonight.
Ray Rice is in his 5th year as an NFL running back and over the years as established himself as one of the best. He leads all running backs in yardage with 247 to his name but has played a game more than his opposite number in Frank Gore. Despite coming under some criticism for the way he was carrying the ball against Denver Rice bounced back with an efficient performance in the AFC Championship win over the Patriots as he rushed for 48 yards from 19 carries and for a score. Rice is willing to do the dirty work for this football team but also possesses the ability to come up with a big play and tonight he will need to come up big for the Ravens to have a shot as his success on the ground will be key if Joe Flacco is to succeed himself when the time comes for him to throw the ball.
5. Receivers: Now by ranking receivers at 5th I am by no means saying they are not important as obviously they have to do their fair share of the work when it comes to making a big offensive play and it is very likely that one of these guys on either side will produce a Super Bowl picture perfect moment.
The Ravens and 49ers both have offensive weapons that can change the game for them but let us rank who is the most likely on either side to come up with the "big play":
1. Vernon Davis - The big tight end is one of the best in the game and will be effective as always
2. Torrey Smith - Underrated but has come up big for Baltimore when needed. Expect more tonight.
3. Michael Crabtree - He has become a big time player since Kaepernick become the Niners QB.
4. Anquan Boldin - Caught 2 touchdowns in the Raves AFC title win so could be the difference maker
5. Randy Moss - The self-proclaimed best wide receiver ever gets another shot at a ring tonight.
6. Dennis Pitta - Not the most dynamic tight end in the league but does his job well.
Prediction: This year's Super Bowl could be one of the closest ever and is one of the hardest to predict in recent memory. The term elite is starting to be defined more by the money paid to a quarterback as opposed to Super Bowl wins so I stand by my claims that Joe Flacco is elite following two big wins over Peyton Manning and Tom Brady during this post-season. Flacco will get paid big in the off-season but he is no Eli Manning and as comparable as this playoff run has been for Flacco to Eli Manning's run that saw him win his first Super Bowl I'm predicting that the Ravens fall short tonight.
I'm not saying that Flacco is going to be the one who costs them the game as if he can keep his team in the game then of course they have a chance but Baltimore is coming up against a 49ers team that is tough and physical so they won't be able to bully teams like they did to the Colts, Broncos and Patriots throughout their playoff run. The NFC has many physical teams but the Niners are also heavily talented and although I wrote it off earlier in the season I am predicting Jim Harbaugh and Colin Kaepernick to pull off a feat similar to what Bill Belichick and Tom Brady achieved on February 3rd 2001 which yes is the exact same date as today 12 years later and remember it is also being played in the same place; Louisiana, New Orleans.
Skye's predicted score: Baltimore Ravens 24-28 San Francisco 49ers
Bold prediction 49ers win: With the Niners down by 6, 27-21, Colin Kaepernick engineers a game winning drive deep in the fourth quarter finding Vernon Davis at the back of the end-zone which looks like a reenactment of Joe Montana's pass to Dwight Clark in the NFC Championship game back in 1982 against the Cowboys.
Bold prediction Ravens win: The Ravens lead the Niners 24-21. Kaepernick goes down the field to set up a David Akers field goal which goes wide left to give the Ravens the win.
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Friday, 18 January 2013
Conference Championship Previews
Last week I went 1-3 on predictions and after spending most of the week cleaning my wounds I've dusted myself down and prepared my predictions for the AFC and NFC title games; even Elliot Harrison from NFL.com went 1-3 in his predictions... Just throwing that out there.
We are 2 weeks away from Super Bowl 47 and two teams will make the trip to New Orleans ready to fight it out for the Lombardi Trophy on the biggest stage of them all so let's bite our teeth in to the two mouth-watering match-ups
San Francisco 49ers vs Atlanta Falcons
Last week I predicted both of these teams to lose and in fitting fashion both have made it to the NFC title game but when the playoffs began I did say that if the 49ers made it past the divisional round they would win the NFC Championship then advance to Super Bowl 47 and lose.
Forgetting the Super Bowl for now though let us just stick to this game and yes the Niners will win. All you have to do is watch the performance of quarterback Colin Kaepernick last weekend to know that this guy is the real deal. He completed 17/31 passes for 263 yards in the air, 2 touchdowns and a pick then on the ground he tore it up just as much if not more by rushing for 181 yards on 16 attempts for 2 scores in the 49ers' 45-31 victory over Green Bay. The Kapernick interception was thrown within the early stages of the first quarter but after that he came to town and was instrumental in the Niners pulling off the victory. The San Francisco offense if just as dangerous as its defense now who welcomed back Justin Smith in the divisional round so Atlanta better watch out.
Now this is not to say that the Falcons don't have a chance of winning because in the national football league anything can happen but the one stat that stands out for me is that the 49ers put up 579 yards in total on offense last week but only gave up 352 yards on defense against an Aaron Rodgers lead Packers in comparison to the Falcons who gave up 491 yards in total on defense but did manage to put up 417 yards on offense against a tough Seattle defense. For me this shows that the 49ers will find a way to win because despite Atlanta's offensive weapons Matt Ryan does not possess the experience or the offense to cause the Niners defense the problems that Tom Brady did against them in week 15.
The most important factor though is how far Colin Kaepernick has come since becoming the 49ers quarterback. I don't think there is anyone in the NFL who can do what this guy can do because the way he runs the ball which is speed for a QB is unreal and makes his a threat to any opposing defense but more than anything he has a tremendous ability to throw the football which many have criticised and even doubted. Jim Harbaugh made the right call putting in this kid for Alex Smith as it has taken his offense and this football team to the next level. It will be hard going on the road and winning in the playoffs especially at the Georgia Dome but unless the Falcons can force some turnovers and hope that quarterback Matt Ryan stays as cool as ice then it will be San Francisco representing the NFC at Super Bowl 47.
Predicted Score: 49ers 38-24 Falcons
Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots
Ray Lewis' career in the NFL continues for another week as he inspired the Ravens to go on the road and knock off Peyton Manning and the first seeded Denver Broncos. Now Baltimore has a chance to redeem themselves for their defeat in the AFC Championship game last season against the New England Patriots with the rematch set up for Sunday night at Gillette Stadium bringing two of the greatest players in their respective positions head to head for once last time when Ray Lewis goes head to head against Tom Brady.
The two things that gives the Ravens a chance in this game is that their defense have returned to their nasty self and that Joe Flacco is now elite... Yes I said elite! The 70 yard touchdown pass he made against Denver in the fourth quarter to tie the game up and take it to overtime was absolute magic and proved he has the ability to potentially mix it with the best. The rejuvenated Flacco has emerged ever since Jim Caldwell has hired as the team's offensive coordinator for week 15 and since then Flacco has thrown 9 touchdowns and just one interception.
Now the Ravens will need to match the Patriots offense if they are to stay in the game as it could well become a shootout but their one concern must be running back Ray Rice as he looks like he is scared about fumbling the football. You can see it in the way Rice is holding the ball and he has already had a few errors during the post-season up until this point. This will be a real cause for concern for Baltimore considering the Patriots lead the league in turnovers with a differential of +25 which includes 20 interceptions and 21 forced fumbles.
Now that New England's defense has the ability to make big plays all over the field thanks to a reborn secondary which can cover the pass and a defense running game led by Vince Wilfork it is going to be hard to get past the Patriots. Combine that with an offense that is getting it done on the ground with Stevan Ridley and their backs love to come out and catch the ball which is what Shane Vereen did perfectly in the team's 41-28 victory over the Texans in the absence of Danny Woodhead who went down to injury in the first quarter. Vereen racked in 83 yards receiving for two touchdowns including a 33 yard touchdown reception from a beautifully thrown pass by Tom Brady as well as racking up 41 yards and a score on the ground.
The Patriots offense is on fire even without superstar tight-end Rob Gronkowski as they have the likes of Hernandez, Lloyd and Welker to go to. The team put up 457 yards in total against Houston in the divisional round and they also boats the number one offense in the league following outstanding performances during the regular season. All of the signs are there for New England to make it back to the Super Bowl and that is exactly what I think will happen. Tom Brady was masterful again last weekend completing 25/40 passing attempts for 344 yards and throwing three touchdown passes. It was a perfect performance by Brady and with the win took him to 17 playoffs wins overtaking the legendary Joe Montana.
The following stats also suggest that New England wins on Sunday:
1. Now it may not be playoff related but in his career as a starter Tom Brady is 136-39
2. Brady is 17-6 in his career as a starter in the playoffs.
3. He is also a very impressive 11-2 at home in the playoffs in his career as starter
4. Finally and probably the most applicable to this game is that Tom Brady is 3-0 at home as a starter in AFC Championship games.
So all in all despite it being pretty obvious that the Ravens do have a chance I fancy New England to win on Sunday and advance to the Super Bowl in New Orleans where if they win it will mark 10 years exactly to the day that they won their first Super Bowl which was also in New Orleans; 20-17 victory over the St. Louis Rams February 3rd 2002.
Predicted Score: Ravens 23-31 Patriots
We are 2 weeks away from Super Bowl 47 and two teams will make the trip to New Orleans ready to fight it out for the Lombardi Trophy on the biggest stage of them all so let's bite our teeth in to the two mouth-watering match-ups
San Francisco 49ers vs Atlanta Falcons
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| Can Kaepernick help the Niners knock off Atlanta |
Last week I predicted both of these teams to lose and in fitting fashion both have made it to the NFC title game but when the playoffs began I did say that if the 49ers made it past the divisional round they would win the NFC Championship then advance to Super Bowl 47 and lose.
Forgetting the Super Bowl for now though let us just stick to this game and yes the Niners will win. All you have to do is watch the performance of quarterback Colin Kaepernick last weekend to know that this guy is the real deal. He completed 17/31 passes for 263 yards in the air, 2 touchdowns and a pick then on the ground he tore it up just as much if not more by rushing for 181 yards on 16 attempts for 2 scores in the 49ers' 45-31 victory over Green Bay. The Kapernick interception was thrown within the early stages of the first quarter but after that he came to town and was instrumental in the Niners pulling off the victory. The San Francisco offense if just as dangerous as its defense now who welcomed back Justin Smith in the divisional round so Atlanta better watch out.
Now this is not to say that the Falcons don't have a chance of winning because in the national football league anything can happen but the one stat that stands out for me is that the 49ers put up 579 yards in total on offense last week but only gave up 352 yards on defense against an Aaron Rodgers lead Packers in comparison to the Falcons who gave up 491 yards in total on defense but did manage to put up 417 yards on offense against a tough Seattle defense. For me this shows that the 49ers will find a way to win because despite Atlanta's offensive weapons Matt Ryan does not possess the experience or the offense to cause the Niners defense the problems that Tom Brady did against them in week 15.
The most important factor though is how far Colin Kaepernick has come since becoming the 49ers quarterback. I don't think there is anyone in the NFL who can do what this guy can do because the way he runs the ball which is speed for a QB is unreal and makes his a threat to any opposing defense but more than anything he has a tremendous ability to throw the football which many have criticised and even doubted. Jim Harbaugh made the right call putting in this kid for Alex Smith as it has taken his offense and this football team to the next level. It will be hard going on the road and winning in the playoffs especially at the Georgia Dome but unless the Falcons can force some turnovers and hope that quarterback Matt Ryan stays as cool as ice then it will be San Francisco representing the NFC at Super Bowl 47.
Predicted Score: 49ers 38-24 Falcons
Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots
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| Brady vs Lewis the final episode |
Ray Lewis' career in the NFL continues for another week as he inspired the Ravens to go on the road and knock off Peyton Manning and the first seeded Denver Broncos. Now Baltimore has a chance to redeem themselves for their defeat in the AFC Championship game last season against the New England Patriots with the rematch set up for Sunday night at Gillette Stadium bringing two of the greatest players in their respective positions head to head for once last time when Ray Lewis goes head to head against Tom Brady.
The two things that gives the Ravens a chance in this game is that their defense have returned to their nasty self and that Joe Flacco is now elite... Yes I said elite! The 70 yard touchdown pass he made against Denver in the fourth quarter to tie the game up and take it to overtime was absolute magic and proved he has the ability to potentially mix it with the best. The rejuvenated Flacco has emerged ever since Jim Caldwell has hired as the team's offensive coordinator for week 15 and since then Flacco has thrown 9 touchdowns and just one interception.
Now the Ravens will need to match the Patriots offense if they are to stay in the game as it could well become a shootout but their one concern must be running back Ray Rice as he looks like he is scared about fumbling the football. You can see it in the way Rice is holding the ball and he has already had a few errors during the post-season up until this point. This will be a real cause for concern for Baltimore considering the Patriots lead the league in turnovers with a differential of +25 which includes 20 interceptions and 21 forced fumbles.
Now that New England's defense has the ability to make big plays all over the field thanks to a reborn secondary which can cover the pass and a defense running game led by Vince Wilfork it is going to be hard to get past the Patriots. Combine that with an offense that is getting it done on the ground with Stevan Ridley and their backs love to come out and catch the ball which is what Shane Vereen did perfectly in the team's 41-28 victory over the Texans in the absence of Danny Woodhead who went down to injury in the first quarter. Vereen racked in 83 yards receiving for two touchdowns including a 33 yard touchdown reception from a beautifully thrown pass by Tom Brady as well as racking up 41 yards and a score on the ground.
The Patriots offense is on fire even without superstar tight-end Rob Gronkowski as they have the likes of Hernandez, Lloyd and Welker to go to. The team put up 457 yards in total against Houston in the divisional round and they also boats the number one offense in the league following outstanding performances during the regular season. All of the signs are there for New England to make it back to the Super Bowl and that is exactly what I think will happen. Tom Brady was masterful again last weekend completing 25/40 passing attempts for 344 yards and throwing three touchdown passes. It was a perfect performance by Brady and with the win took him to 17 playoffs wins overtaking the legendary Joe Montana.
The following stats also suggest that New England wins on Sunday:
1. Now it may not be playoff related but in his career as a starter Tom Brady is 136-39
2. Brady is 17-6 in his career as a starter in the playoffs.
3. He is also a very impressive 11-2 at home in the playoffs in his career as starter
4. Finally and probably the most applicable to this game is that Tom Brady is 3-0 at home as a starter in AFC Championship games.
So all in all despite it being pretty obvious that the Ravens do have a chance I fancy New England to win on Sunday and advance to the Super Bowl in New Orleans where if they win it will mark 10 years exactly to the day that they won their first Super Bowl which was also in New Orleans; 20-17 victory over the St. Louis Rams February 3rd 2002.
Predicted Score: Ravens 23-31 Patriots
Saturday, 12 January 2013
NFL divisonal round
There are 3 hours until the divisional round of the NFL playoffs begin! Last week's wild card round brought us plenty of excitement with the Seahawks, Packers, Ravens and Texans all progressing. We'll take a look at each game now with predictions from yours truly.
Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos
The Ravens are rejuvenated following the return of influential leader Ray Lewis. The linebacker returned from injury last week against the Colts are played incredibly well as he racked up 9 tackles and almost got an interception which would have capped off a perfect day for Baltimore. Last week they played the rookie Andrew Luck and no disrespect to him because he has all the talent in the world but last week the Colts just didn't show up but this week the Ravens have a huge task ahead of them when they go on the road to face Peyton Manning's Broncos.
Denver finished the regular season 13-3 with the join best record in the league and the best record in the AFC. They have won their last 11 games in a row and Manning has been spectacular in his first year as a Bronco. Many have the Bronco's down to win this especially after they knocked off the Ravens 34-17 three weeks ago but here I am about to give Baltimore some hope with two key points:
1. Peyton Manning despite being arguably one of if not the greatest quarterback to play the game actually does not have a great playoff record. While we all know his regular season success has been well documented over the years in the post-season Manning won 9 and lost 10 throwing 29 touchdowns and 19 interceptions. The stats are not great and you could compare him to Bronco's legend John Elway for maybe not being able to get it done in the "big games" although both are former Super Bowl champions so they are not exactly choke artists.
2. Now this may sound like I am clutching at straws but hear me out; when the weather is cold Manning freezes under pressure, sorry I couldn't resist it. When the temperature has been below 32 degrees Manning has only won 3/8 games now obviously when he was quarterback for the Colts they played indoors but Denver has high altitude and not the greatest of weather at this time of year. The temperature is predicted to be around 20 degrees in Denver when kick-off comes around so who knows what will happen and it is worth mentioning that Peyton Manning also lost his only two cold playoff games with both ending in defeat to the New England Patriots with him just throwing one touchdown and a costly five interceptions in those two games.
With that being said maybe the most important stat of all is that Manning is 9-2 against the Ravens in his career and even worse for the Ravens is that those two defeats came in his first two games against Baltimore so since that loss in 2001 Manning has won 9 straight against them. When the two teams go head to head tonight the league's number 5 offense takes on the league's number 16th defense and with the Broncos themselves ranked number 2 on total defense you can expect Denver to advance to the AFC Championship game.
Predicted Score: Ravens 24-30 Broncos
Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers
I think on paper this game is the most evenly matched out of the four we have for the divisional round and it really is so close to call. The 49ers pipped the Packers to the bye week and thanks to Green Bay's convincing win last weekend against the Vikings they now travel to Candlestick Park to play San Francisco. Both of these teams suffered the same fate in last season's playoffs when they were defeated by the New York Giants but this year with the two matching up against each other both will believe that with a win tonight they will be the ones to go on and represent the NFC at Super Bowl 47.
These are the two best teams in the NFC but both get things done differently. The 49ers offensive has taken a new lease of life since the emergence of second year quarterback Colin Kaepernick and with it now being dynamic in the air as well as being dangerous on the ground they are almost as scary on this side of the ball as they are on defense. The Niners defense is ranked 3rd in the league in total yardage giving up less than 300 yards a game but we saw how they almost threw away a big lead when they took on the offensive might of the New England Patriots during the regular season and how they were swept away by the Seahawks so there are signs that the Packers can get it done tonight.
Although their defense is improving Green Bay getting it done on offense will be the main factor tonight. If the likes of Greg Jennings, Randall Cobb and Jermichael Finley can get it done then the Packers have a chance. With that being said it will be down to quarterback Aaron Rodgers to get the ball to them but if he can continue his regular season form and put in another MVP like performance for the Packers then I fancy them to beat San Francisco in their own back garden. Jim Harbaugh made a tough call when he put in Kaepernick for Alex Smith and although the young kid has lot of talent I think a playoff run is a step to far this season and ultimately the decision to bring him in will haunt Harbaugh but only for now as from next season onwards the Niners will come out firing on all cylinders.
Predicted Score: Packers 30-27 49ers
Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons
I wouldn't necessarily call the Seattle Seahawks a surprise package but let's just say I don't think nobody predicted this football team would look so complete in the 2012 season. Tomorrow they come up against a Falcons team that has looked like a complete squad for a couple of seasons but a win in the playoffs still eludes them.
The Seahawks finished the regular season 8-0 at home but were only 3-5 on the road. With that being said they went on the road last weekend and beat the Redskins 24-14 to move on to 12-5 this season. The team's defensive is ranked 4th best overall for yardage in the league and 3rd in the playoffs just trailing the Broncos and the 49ers. The Seahawks boast having the best defense in the league when it comes to their opponents scoring against them and out of the remaining teams in the NFC they have the best turnover differential along with none other than the Atlanta Falcons with plus 13.
The Falcons offense has been brilliant for the majority of the season but they haven't blown any teams out of shown that wow factor which some would require is needed to get to the next level. Nitty gritty wins are good as your team shows heart but it just seems like the Falcons may choke once again especially when you look back to when they played the Cardinals and Matt Ryan threw 5 interceptions.
This matchup for many comes down to the Falcons offense vs the Seahawks defense but for me I think the decisive factor will be how well Seattle themselves do on offense. They go to the Georgia Dome which is by no means the easiest place to play in and rookie quarterback Russell Wilson will have to show composure once again if he is to lead his team to a victory on the road. The rookie QB was efficient last weekend against Washington when he threw 1 touchdown pass for 187 yards and we know he can hit the next gear as he tied Peyton Manning's rookie touchdown record during the regular season when he threw 26 touchdown passes.
If Wilson performs and Marshawn Lynch gets it done like we know he can when he is called upon by this Seattle offense then I think the Seahawks knock off the number one seed Falcons and advance to the NFC Championship game. Oh and you can expect cornerback Richard Sherman to intercept Matt Ryan tomorrow night and add to his 8 interceptions this season.
Predicted Score: Seahawks 28-20 Falcons
Houston Texans vs New England Patriots
The last time these two teams played the New England Patriots destroyed the Texans 42-14. Tom Brady dismantled Houston's defense but now it's the playoffs and as we know anything can happen. The Texans will want revenge and will want to give what they feel to be a true account of themselves when they come up against the Patriots again tomorrow night but despite their wild card win over the Bengals the Texans once again looked lackluster on offense in comparison to the team we saw during the early stages of the regular season.
Texans quarterback Matt Schaub will feel he has a point to prove when he takes his team on the road as he looks to prove he has what it takes to be elite. Judging on his season to date especially looking at recent form the chances of him instigating a performance to shock the Patriots is unlikely but that was also said of Jets QB Mark Sanchez in the 2010 season, After New England humiliated the Jets 45-3 in the regular season Sanchez and Gang Green went on the road to knock off their rivals 28-21 in the divisional round.
So that brings us to the 2012 playoffs and the New England Patriots are in a very similar scenario. Whether they have the comparisons to the 2010 season in their mind is anyone's call but you could say that is unlikely as this football team is completely different to the 2010 Patriots. Last season New England just missed out on a 4th Super Bowl championship and you can see that Tom Brady and the Patriots are on a redemption mission this season to get back to the big game for another shot at the Lombardi trophy.
On offense Patriots quarterback Tom Brady has once again been in spectacular form as he finished the regular season with 34 touchdowns to just 8 interceptions. Tomorrow he could overtake the legendary Joe Montana for playoff wins and move on to 17 post-season victories if they can knock off the Texans. That looks likely now that they have tight end Rob Gronkowski back on offense, he didn't play in the blowout, and now that the running game has regained stability along with a defense that leads the league in turnover differential with +25 the signs are there for a New England win.
For the Texans to win J.J. Watt needs to rediscover his superstar form. You can expect Houston to throw a lot of blitz packages at Tom Brady tomorrow with Watt himself leading his group all in hope of getting to Brady. Any chance Houston has of winning though will depend on the offense's ability to get first downs and put points on the board; now that sounds obvious but they didn't do it last time and have struggled to do that of late.
You can expect this game to be much closer than the two teams first encounter but with the Patriots being at home again and their roster back to pretty much full strength ahead of the playoffs expect New England to start their playoff run with a win as they advance to the AFC Championship game next week.
Predicted Score: Texans 24-34 Patriots
Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos
The Ravens are rejuvenated following the return of influential leader Ray Lewis. The linebacker returned from injury last week against the Colts are played incredibly well as he racked up 9 tackles and almost got an interception which would have capped off a perfect day for Baltimore. Last week they played the rookie Andrew Luck and no disrespect to him because he has all the talent in the world but last week the Colts just didn't show up but this week the Ravens have a huge task ahead of them when they go on the road to face Peyton Manning's Broncos.
Denver finished the regular season 13-3 with the join best record in the league and the best record in the AFC. They have won their last 11 games in a row and Manning has been spectacular in his first year as a Bronco. Many have the Bronco's down to win this especially after they knocked off the Ravens 34-17 three weeks ago but here I am about to give Baltimore some hope with two key points:
1. Peyton Manning despite being arguably one of if not the greatest quarterback to play the game actually does not have a great playoff record. While we all know his regular season success has been well documented over the years in the post-season Manning won 9 and lost 10 throwing 29 touchdowns and 19 interceptions. The stats are not great and you could compare him to Bronco's legend John Elway for maybe not being able to get it done in the "big games" although both are former Super Bowl champions so they are not exactly choke artists.
2. Now this may sound like I am clutching at straws but hear me out; when the weather is cold Manning freezes under pressure, sorry I couldn't resist it. When the temperature has been below 32 degrees Manning has only won 3/8 games now obviously when he was quarterback for the Colts they played indoors but Denver has high altitude and not the greatest of weather at this time of year. The temperature is predicted to be around 20 degrees in Denver when kick-off comes around so who knows what will happen and it is worth mentioning that Peyton Manning also lost his only two cold playoff games with both ending in defeat to the New England Patriots with him just throwing one touchdown and a costly five interceptions in those two games.
With that being said maybe the most important stat of all is that Manning is 9-2 against the Ravens in his career and even worse for the Ravens is that those two defeats came in his first two games against Baltimore so since that loss in 2001 Manning has won 9 straight against them. When the two teams go head to head tonight the league's number 5 offense takes on the league's number 16th defense and with the Broncos themselves ranked number 2 on total defense you can expect Denver to advance to the AFC Championship game.
Predicted Score: Ravens 24-30 Broncos
Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers
I think on paper this game is the most evenly matched out of the four we have for the divisional round and it really is so close to call. The 49ers pipped the Packers to the bye week and thanks to Green Bay's convincing win last weekend against the Vikings they now travel to Candlestick Park to play San Francisco. Both of these teams suffered the same fate in last season's playoffs when they were defeated by the New York Giants but this year with the two matching up against each other both will believe that with a win tonight they will be the ones to go on and represent the NFC at Super Bowl 47.
These are the two best teams in the NFC but both get things done differently. The 49ers offensive has taken a new lease of life since the emergence of second year quarterback Colin Kaepernick and with it now being dynamic in the air as well as being dangerous on the ground they are almost as scary on this side of the ball as they are on defense. The Niners defense is ranked 3rd in the league in total yardage giving up less than 300 yards a game but we saw how they almost threw away a big lead when they took on the offensive might of the New England Patriots during the regular season and how they were swept away by the Seahawks so there are signs that the Packers can get it done tonight.
Although their defense is improving Green Bay getting it done on offense will be the main factor tonight. If the likes of Greg Jennings, Randall Cobb and Jermichael Finley can get it done then the Packers have a chance. With that being said it will be down to quarterback Aaron Rodgers to get the ball to them but if he can continue his regular season form and put in another MVP like performance for the Packers then I fancy them to beat San Francisco in their own back garden. Jim Harbaugh made a tough call when he put in Kaepernick for Alex Smith and although the young kid has lot of talent I think a playoff run is a step to far this season and ultimately the decision to bring him in will haunt Harbaugh but only for now as from next season onwards the Niners will come out firing on all cylinders.
Predicted Score: Packers 30-27 49ers
Seattle Seahawks vs Atlanta Falcons
I wouldn't necessarily call the Seattle Seahawks a surprise package but let's just say I don't think nobody predicted this football team would look so complete in the 2012 season. Tomorrow they come up against a Falcons team that has looked like a complete squad for a couple of seasons but a win in the playoffs still eludes them.
The Seahawks finished the regular season 8-0 at home but were only 3-5 on the road. With that being said they went on the road last weekend and beat the Redskins 24-14 to move on to 12-5 this season. The team's defensive is ranked 4th best overall for yardage in the league and 3rd in the playoffs just trailing the Broncos and the 49ers. The Seahawks boast having the best defense in the league when it comes to their opponents scoring against them and out of the remaining teams in the NFC they have the best turnover differential along with none other than the Atlanta Falcons with plus 13.
The Falcons offense has been brilliant for the majority of the season but they haven't blown any teams out of shown that wow factor which some would require is needed to get to the next level. Nitty gritty wins are good as your team shows heart but it just seems like the Falcons may choke once again especially when you look back to when they played the Cardinals and Matt Ryan threw 5 interceptions.
This matchup for many comes down to the Falcons offense vs the Seahawks defense but for me I think the decisive factor will be how well Seattle themselves do on offense. They go to the Georgia Dome which is by no means the easiest place to play in and rookie quarterback Russell Wilson will have to show composure once again if he is to lead his team to a victory on the road. The rookie QB was efficient last weekend against Washington when he threw 1 touchdown pass for 187 yards and we know he can hit the next gear as he tied Peyton Manning's rookie touchdown record during the regular season when he threw 26 touchdown passes.
If Wilson performs and Marshawn Lynch gets it done like we know he can when he is called upon by this Seattle offense then I think the Seahawks knock off the number one seed Falcons and advance to the NFC Championship game. Oh and you can expect cornerback Richard Sherman to intercept Matt Ryan tomorrow night and add to his 8 interceptions this season.
Predicted Score: Seahawks 28-20 Falcons
Houston Texans vs New England Patriots
The last time these two teams played the New England Patriots destroyed the Texans 42-14. Tom Brady dismantled Houston's defense but now it's the playoffs and as we know anything can happen. The Texans will want revenge and will want to give what they feel to be a true account of themselves when they come up against the Patriots again tomorrow night but despite their wild card win over the Bengals the Texans once again looked lackluster on offense in comparison to the team we saw during the early stages of the regular season.
Texans quarterback Matt Schaub will feel he has a point to prove when he takes his team on the road as he looks to prove he has what it takes to be elite. Judging on his season to date especially looking at recent form the chances of him instigating a performance to shock the Patriots is unlikely but that was also said of Jets QB Mark Sanchez in the 2010 season, After New England humiliated the Jets 45-3 in the regular season Sanchez and Gang Green went on the road to knock off their rivals 28-21 in the divisional round.
So that brings us to the 2012 playoffs and the New England Patriots are in a very similar scenario. Whether they have the comparisons to the 2010 season in their mind is anyone's call but you could say that is unlikely as this football team is completely different to the 2010 Patriots. Last season New England just missed out on a 4th Super Bowl championship and you can see that Tom Brady and the Patriots are on a redemption mission this season to get back to the big game for another shot at the Lombardi trophy.
On offense Patriots quarterback Tom Brady has once again been in spectacular form as he finished the regular season with 34 touchdowns to just 8 interceptions. Tomorrow he could overtake the legendary Joe Montana for playoff wins and move on to 17 post-season victories if they can knock off the Texans. That looks likely now that they have tight end Rob Gronkowski back on offense, he didn't play in the blowout, and now that the running game has regained stability along with a defense that leads the league in turnover differential with +25 the signs are there for a New England win.
For the Texans to win J.J. Watt needs to rediscover his superstar form. You can expect Houston to throw a lot of blitz packages at Tom Brady tomorrow with Watt himself leading his group all in hope of getting to Brady. Any chance Houston has of winning though will depend on the offense's ability to get first downs and put points on the board; now that sounds obvious but they didn't do it last time and have struggled to do that of late.
You can expect this game to be much closer than the two teams first encounter but with the Patriots being at home again and their roster back to pretty much full strength ahead of the playoffs expect New England to start their playoff run with a win as they advance to the AFC Championship game next week.
Predicted Score: Texans 24-34 Patriots
Friday, 4 January 2013
NFL 2012/2013 Playoffs:
This year’s
NFL regular season is over and now we know who has made it to the post-season.
Week 17 gave us plenty of thrills and spills, mostly spills if your names Tony
Romo. The drama and excitement that this week’s matchups brought us has given
us high expectations going into the wild card week and the rest of the
playoffs.
For this
post we'll take a look at each team’s chance in the playoffs with a little hint
of how they may do as well as a prediction for the NFC and AFC championship
games.
NFC seedings:
1. Atlanta Falcons - South winners - 13-3-0 (Home field advantage and first round bye)
2. San
Francisco 49ers - West winners - 11-4-1 (First round bye)
3. Green
Bay Packers - North winners - 11-5-0
4.
Washington Redskins - East winners - 10-6-0
5.
Seattle Seahawks - Wildcard - 11-5-0
6.
Minnesota Vikings - Wildcard - 10-6-0
Atlanta
Falcons
| Can Atlanta's three musketeers come up big when it matters most |
During Matt Ryan's time as quarterback for the Falcons he and the team have lost three playoff games with the most recent coming last season in a crushing 24-2 defeat to eventful Super Bowl champions the New York Giants. This season the Falcons have finished the 2012 regular season with the leagues joint best record, 13-3, but despite that many have written them off. Ryan himself has had another productive year throwing 32 touchdowns to only 14 interceptions and with this being his 5th season in the league you can see he is improving but now he has learned the ropes this Atlanta team needs to step up when it matters. They will look to prove the doubters wrong by beating whoever they welcome to the Georgia Dome in the NFC divisional round out of the Seattle Seahawks and the Washington Redskins. Despite their recent woeful playoff record Atlanta's offense also has two very good receivers in the shape of Julio Jones who has had a breakout season with 10 receiving touchdowns and Roddy White as well as a defense that finished the regular season sixth in turnover differential with +13. Matt Ryan can take inspiration from Eli Manning who lost his first two playoff games but won his first in his third appearance during his fourth year as a pro so can Ryan make it lucky number four in year number five and take the Atlanta Falcons to the NFC Championship game? Well out of the four teams in the NFL with a bye week the Falcons are the most likely to bust and regardless if they do manage a long awaited playoff win they don't have the type of defense the Giants did on two occasions to help Eli Manning get over the line so Matt Ryan and co will have to wait another year for a shot at greatness.
San Francisco 49ers
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| Will Jim Harbaugh's decision pay off in the playoffs |
It has
been an eventful season for the San Francisco 49ers and one mainly filled with
positives. The team headed in to the 2012 season as one of the favourites to go
to the Super Bowl and that view has not changed among many. The 49ers possess
one of if not arguably the best defense in the league and statistically are
third in total defense during the regular season giving up only 294.4 yards per
game. They have 25 takeaways and a turnover differential of +9 which leaves
them ranked 9th in the league in that field and as well as that the possess the
likes of outside linebacker Aldon Smith who was in fine form during the regular
season as he racked up 19.5 sacks on the season. The big question though still
remains at quarterback but for Jim Harbaugh it has been a good dilemma with
second year pro Colin Kaepernick coming in to replace Alex Smith following a
concussion despite Smith starting to produce some of if not his best form as a
quarterback since being drafted as the first overall pick by the 49ers in the
2005 draft. Smith finished the season with a passer rating of 104.1 which made
him the third best rated quarterback in the league but young Colin Kaepernick
has been considered more dynamic with his ability to move out of the pocket as
well as scramble and has shown to have better arm strength. As well as this his
abilities have shown in his statistics with the young QB throwing 10 touchdowns
for 1,814 yards and just 3 interceptions along with 5 scores on the ground in
his 7 games as the teams starter. Kaepernick has also been able to link up with
veteran Randy Moss at times and has racked up a very good partnership with his
main wide receiver Michael Crabtree who is now starting to look like the big
time NFL player many predicted he could be. The decision to switch quarterback
has paid off so far as San Francisco went on to clinch a bye in the playoffs
taking them straight to the divisional round meaning they are one game away
from the NFC Championship but despite us all seeing a season full of many
surprises especially at the quarterback position this situation in San
Francisco won't see the team replicate a Tom Brady- Drew Bledsoe type scenario
in which Brady went on to win the Lombardi trophy in his second year as a pro
following him becoming the starter due to an injury to Bledsoe. One way or
another Harbaugh's decision will come back to haunt him somehow and the 49ers
will fall at some point but when that will happen is a subject open for debate.
Green Bay Packers
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| Can Aaron Rodgers guide the Packers back to the Super Bowl |
The Green
Bay Packers were controversially defeated by the Seattle Seahawks on a Monday
night game early in the season which saw the end of the replacement refs taking
charge on the field. A win on that night would have given them a first round
bye but following their week 17 defeat to divisional rivals the Vikings they
only have themselves to blame after missing out on a week off. Despite that recent
negative it is only a blip and overall Green Bay's season has been a success so
far. Aaron Rodgers has led the way once again by continuing to get it done with
an offense which doesn't possess as many weapons that the likes of Tom Brady
and Peyton Manning have at their disposal. With Rodgers leading the league with
an incredible passer rating of 108.0 as well as 39 touchdown passes to just 8
interceptions the quarterback could be the difference maker for Green Bay to make
a playoff run. He's turned Jerry Jones in to a top receiver, he leads the
league with 14 scores on the season, and the Packers also have their defense
getting healthy again so everything mentioned makes them one of the favourites
in the NFC to compete for the Lombard trophy in February. Their journey starts
this weekend when they face the Vikings again but this time the game takes
place at Lambeau field. Despite wide receiver Greg Jennings saying he would
rather play indoors home advantage will set Green Bay on their way in the
playoffs but will have a tough road to the Super Bowl as a win this weekend
would mean they have to travel to Candlestick Park to take on the 49ers and
then would have to beat whoever they face in the NFC title game to get to New Orleans.
These days in the NFL nothing comes easy and a number one seed hasn't won the
Super Bowl since the 2003 Patriots so don't be surprised in Green Bay are the
team representing the NFC at Super Bowl 47.
Washington Redskins
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| Can RGIII and the Redskins continue to get it done in the playoffs |
A seven
game winning streak has seen the Redskins make the playoffs as NFC East
champions. I bought in to the whole RGIII being black Jesus and he really has
been Washington's saviour by guiding them to the post-season. The second
overall pick out of Baylor has turned the franchise around and his clutch
performance in the win or go home game against the Cowboys this past week has
started off Griffin's legacy. Griffin is always graceful and shows veteran type
skills on and off the field; he is also keen to praise his team-mates and
rightfully so as the likes of Pierre Garcon and fellow rookie Alfred Morris
have also assisted in the Redskins transformation. Morris' impressive rookie
season has seen him rush for 1613 yards meaning he is second in the league
leaving him only behind Adrian Peterson. His 13 rushing touchdowns again leave
him second in scores this time only behind Marshawn Lynch so the stats show
that the young running back is establishing himself as one of the best in the
league. The running game has helped RGIII succeed and with him possessing
various skills including his veteran like pocket presence and ability to
scramble the options Washington have on offense are a headache for opposing
defenses. Griffin's impressive season has put him in the running for rookie of
the year; his stats include 20 touchdown passes to just 5 interceptions which
is outstanding for a rookie and literally unheard of. He threw 3,200 passing
yards and rushed for over 800 yards as well as 7 scores on the season.
Washington will host the Seattle Seahawks this weekend who are a pretty similar
football team to the Redskins which makes for an interesting matchup as both
possess similar offenses and both have defenses that like to force turnovers;
Washington are ranked third in the league with a +17 turnover differential and
31 takeaways. The Redskins are on a hot streak and the Seahawks don't have the
best record on the road but now that their monster defence is fully equipped it’s
pretty much too close to choose a winner. How far Washington can actually go is
anyone's call but I think it is safe to say that whoever gets the win this
Sunday will go on to knock off the Falcons at the Georgia Dome meaning that a
rookie will be starting in the NFC Championship game.
Seattle Seahawks
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| Can Pete Carroll and his rookie QB help pull of something special this post-season |
The Seattle
Seahawks are an intriguing football team and have come a long way under head
coach Pete Carroll's guidance. They are a surprise package in some people's
eyes but from the start of the season it was clear to see that this team had
talent. Seattle haven't lost a game at home his season and their 8-0 record at
CenturyLink Field saw them knock off the likes of the New England Patriots, San
Francisco 49ers and Green Bay Packers. Despite being only 3-5 on the road the
Seahawks have showed signs of improvement away from Seattle towards the end of
the regular season with a win in Chicago and a blowout against the Bills both
of which were part of the teams give game winning streak to end the season on a
high. The Seahawks travel to the capital to take on the Washington Redskins for
wild card week after narrowly missing out on the NFC West title and a first
round bye. The game itself is close to call but Seattle have dangerous weapons
on both sides of the ball; on offense rookie Russell Wilson justified his selection
in the draft and Pete Carroll's decision to name him as the team’s starting
quarterback over Matt Flynn. Wilson racked up a passer rating of 100.0 in the
regular season throwing 26 touchdown passes which tied Peyton Manning's rookie
record for touchdowns in a season and threw just 10 interceptions for over
3,000 yards and also scored 4 rushing touchdowns himself with his impressive
performances putting him in the rookie of the year conversation. The ground
game has helped the rookie with Marshawn Lynch putting on another great display
this season rushing for 1590 yards and 11 touchdowns. The offense has got
things going despite any major weapons at receiver but the team’s success has
started from its foundations set on defense and the standards have been set
high. The return of Browner and Sherman at cornerback is a huge boost as
Seattle has had to cope without their two starters at the position but have
actually managed fine. Seattle’s pass defense ranked sixth in the league
allowing just 203.1 yards per game, finished 4th in the league in total defense
only giving up 306.2 yards per game and was fifth in turnover differential with
+13 and 31 takeaways. The statistics are all there to suggest that this
Seahawks team could go far in the post-season and some do believe they have a
genuine shot to reach New Orleans. Their first test will be against the
Redskins and a road win will only boost their confidence; if they win and then
go on to face the Falcons the pass defense will give the Falcons a torrid time
and Seattle could well be in the NFC Championship game come the end of the
month.
Minnesota Vikings
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| Can the one man wrecking machine continue to cause havoc in the playoffs |
No
disrespect to the Minnesota Vikings but Adrian Peterson has pretty much carried
the team on his own this season. It was this time last year when Peterson
underwent surgery on a potential career threatening torn ACL injury but he has
come back and produced one of the best seasons ever by a running back in the
history of the NFL as he racked up 2097 yards leaving him only 9 yards shy of
Ed Dickerson's record; he also rushed for an impressive 12 scores on the
ground. The Vikings and Peterson himself have been written off many times this
season but the team rallied to win their last four games with the last coming
against the Green Bay Packers ensuring they got the last NFC wild card spot
ahead of the Chicago Bears. The Vikings will matchup against Green Bay again
this weekend when the playoffs begin as Peterson and co look to pull off
another shock as well as another win over the Packers. This time though they'll
have to do it on the road where the team are 3-5 but it would be foolish to
rule the Vikings out especially as Christian Ponder even produced in week 17
when he threw 3 touchdown passes in the win and notably no interceptions.
Everyone likes a fairytale story but this one will end at Lambeau Field as a
playoff run is most likely a step too far for Minnesota but they've made big
strides this season and can look back on it with fond memories especially as
Peterson should walk away for the regular season MVP award and deservedly so.
NFC title game prediction:
1. Seattle Seahawks vs Green Bay Packers
or 2. Washington Redskins vs San Francisco 49ers
or 3. Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers
Out of the six NFC teams these four are the ones to watch out for and those are my three predictions for the championship game. I reiterate the fact that the Falcons will crumble again in the playoffs meaning that a rookie quarterback will have a shot at the Super Bowl. If it's RGIII the Redskins will lose as a trip to New Orleans is a step too far for a team that is still rebuilding but they won't face the Packers because those two teams rely mainly on offense and one defensive team will be in the title game. I don't see the 49ers losing an NFC title game if they get there to anyone besides Seattle but to be honest the more I think about it the more I am convinced that on January 20th the 5th seeded Seahawks take a trip to Lambeau Field to take on the 3rd seeded Green Bay Packers in a repeat of that Monday night madness from week 3 with both fighting it out to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl. All in agreement that the game ends on a last second touchdown again... I thought so.
AFC seedings:
1. Denver Broncos - West winners - 13-3-0 (Home field advantage and first round bye)
2. New England Patriots - East winners - 12-4-0 (First round bye)
3. Houston Texans - South winners - 12-4-0
4. Baltimore Ravens - North winners - 10-6-0
5. Indianapolis Colts - Wildcard - 11-5-0
6. Cincinnati Bengals - Wildcard - 10-6-0
.
Denver Broncos
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| Can Manning and the Broncos go all the way |
From the
thrills of Tebowmania and a playoff win last season the Denver Broncos have
gone that step further this season thanks to a rejuvenated Peyton Manning who
has come back playing some of the best football of his career despite having
neck surgery which ruled him out of the 2011 season. It was foolish for anyone
to write Manning off and anybody who did has been proven wrong as Manning has thrown
4,659 passing yards this season; his second best season in his 15 years as a
pro. As well as this Manning threw 37 touchdown passes and just 11
interceptions meaning he finished the regular season with a passer rating of
105.8 with the stats suggesting he is the frontrunner along with Adrian
Peterson to win the NFL comeback player of the year award and possibly league
MVP. The future hall of fame quarterback has turned receivers Eric Decker and Demaryius
Thomas in to big time players with the two hauling in 23 of his 37 touchdown
passes giving Denver an offense to be feared as well as a defense that is
ranked second in the league for total defense giving up only 290.8 yards per
game overall. The Broncos defense also has Von Miller who has been a thorn in
many opponents side as the outside linebacker went on to get 18.5 sacks during
the regular season and even contributed for an interception which went for a
touchdown. All there is to say about this football team is that they are well
equipped all round and with them locking up the number one seed thanks to an 11
game winning streak you could forgive Peyton Manning for having one eye on
going back to his place of birth for Super Bowl 47. It’s been an
emotional ride for Manning and it could end in fairytale fashion with a win in
New Orleans which could include a divisional round matchup against his former
team the Colts and an AFC championship game against long-time adversary Tom
Brady. With Manning at the helm this Denver Broncos team has the tools to go
all the way and the road to the Super Bowl in the AFC will go through Denver
but in the playoffs anything can happen so expect the unexpected and lots of
drama.
New England Patriots
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| Can Tom Brady and the Patriots go a step further this year by winning their fourth championship |
It's always
eventful in New England and once again the Patriots are among the top
contenders to win the Super Bowl. Quarterback Tom Brady is looking to win the
elusive fourth ring which would quite possible cement his place as the greatest
quarterback of all time. Thankfully for Brady head coach Belichick has formed a
football team which knows how to win games and most of the time win in style.
In the 12 games won by the Patriots during the regular season they outscored
their opponents 452-215, yes I worked that out myself, which shows how dominant
they have been. In the 4 games lost they were only outscored 105-116 so just 11
points were the difference with narrow losses to Arizona by 2 points, Baltimore
and Seattle by a point and finally San Francisco by 7 points who lead by a 28
point deficit at halftime. This New England Patriots has all the pieces in
place to go on and win a championship as they possess a devastating offense
that is ranked first in the NFL with 427.9 yards per game in total offense
along with a vastly improved defense and are even dangerous on special teams.
The offense has continued to get it done despite injuries to the likes of
Julian Edelman who suffered a broken foot in week 13 but key weapon Rob
Gronkowski returned this week and with Aaron Hernandez returning earlier on in
the season the two headed tight end monster will be on the field for the
playoffs and has a bye week to prepare for its divisional round game. Brady
threw for 4,827 passing yards in the regular season, second best in his 13 year
career, and threw an impressive 34 touchdown passes making it only the fourth
time in his career that he has thrown over 30 touchdowns in a season. He also
threw just 8 interceptions making it the third time in his career that he has
finished a regular season with under 10 picks which is very impressive.
Unbelievably Brady is always improving as a quarterback but has the running
game established mainly by Stevan Ridley to thank for this latest successful
Patriots offense. The running game is something New England have lacked in
recent years but now that they have one it gives opposing defenses something
else to worry about as well as opening up play action. Shane Vereen, Danny
Woodhead and Brandon Bolden are also three very useful running backs who can
come in and offer different options at running back so the position offers just
as many alternatives to a passing game that includes Wes Welker and Brandon
Lloyd at wide receiver. This new running attack reminds me of when Terrell
Davis joined the Denver Broncos and that helped quarterback John Elway win back
to back Super Bowls following three defeats in his other big game appearances.
As well as this the Patriots defense has come on leaps and bounds as the team
have gone from being ranked 31st in total yardage last season to finishing the
2012 regular season first in turnovers with a differential of 25 and second in
takeaways with 41 thanks to an improved secondary as well as good defensive
play all round. This Patriots team will at least reach the AFC title game on
January 20th with many predicting a New England vs Denver matchup but with this
year being a Super Bowl or bust type season you can most likely bank on New
England being the team representing the AFC come Super Bowl 47.
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| Can Watt help stop the rot |
The
Houston Texans had hold of the number one seed in the AFC for weeks and still
held it going in to the last week of the regular season but a defeat to their
divisional rivals the Colts along with wins for the Patriots and Broncos saw
the Texans slip in to the third seeded position which now means they will play
this weekend. In wild card week the Texans will host the Bengals who have won
their last 3 in a row and their last 4 out of 5 games as opposed to Houston who
are on a 2 game losing streak and dropped to 12-4 following an 11-1 record
after 12 games. It's hard to pinpoint Houston's recent decline but they need to
fix the problem now that the playoffs are here especially as Cincinnati are a
team that shouldn't be underestimated. They need their offense to click again
and will look for quarterback Matt Schaub to rekindle his partnership with wide
receiver Andre Johnson and will also hope Arian Foster can recapture the
sparkling form he showed for the majority of the season which saw him rack up
1,424 yards on the ground and lead the league in rushing touchdowns with 15.
Their main goal to recapture that winning formula though should be defense as
it was their hard working efforts on that side of the ball that made them so
hard to beat early on in the season. In a lot of their big games this season it’s
almost as if the Texans have gone missing with defeats to the Packers 42-24 and
the Patriots 42-14 standing out as well as the week 17 loss to the Colts
leading to them having to play this weekend but if J.J. Watt can step up to the
MVP type form he showed for the majority of the season Houston can stop the
rot; the defensive end led the league in sacks with 20.5. Whilst the Texans did
clinch the AFC South divisional title they and their fans will feel they should
be resting this weekend and so will many experts as Houston were predicted as
an early season Super Bowl contender. That's not to say they can't make the big
game but recent form is not on the teams side but regardless of that the
playoffs is a clean slate and anyone's game. A win over the Bengals will mean
they travel to Gillette Stadium in the divisional round; that was where they
were blown out by the Patriots in week 14 and although they will want a shot at
redeeming themselves big defeats always remain in the back of your mind.
Overall it is clear to see that Houston have the talent but this young
franchise is still learning and will have to do it the hard way to reach New
Orleans by going through two of the greatest quarterback's to ever play the
game meaning that their task is almost certainly a step too far.
Baltimore Ravens
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| Can Ray Lewis and the Ravens get it together done one more time |
It has
been an emotional week for all those associated with the Ravens as it was
announced Ray Lewis will retire at the end of the season. The 13 time pro
bowler is one of if not the greatest linebacker to play the game and while the
news is obviously devastating it was also revealed that he will return for this
Sunday's playoff game against the Colts. Having their inspirational leader back
on the field can only be beneficial for Baltimore and they need something to
reignite them following a roller coaster of a season. The Ravens finished 10-6
and managed to clinch the AFC North but will host Andrew Luck and the 11-5
Colts in what will be a very close and exciting game. This game has all types
of stories for Baltimore with Lewis playing and the fact that they use to be
known as the Baltimore Colts. Can this team put a playoff run together? Who
knows and given their unpredictability it is hard to hazard a guess to whether
they can or not. Joe Flacco and the no huddle offense slowly declined week by
week but despite injuries the defense still managed to finish 8th in the league
for turnover differential and had 25 takeaways on the season. The Ravens are
similar to the Texans in the sense that both were predicted to have a genuine
shot at the Super Bowl but the regular season has thrown doubt over that and
now both teams face young opponents this week end who are both in form. Despite
Baltimore being able to rest some key starters in week 17 I think they won't
get any luck against Indianapolis resulting in a disappointing end for Ray
Lewis and his illustrious career.
Indianapolis Colts
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| Luck has been more than lucky as his amazing performances have guided the Colts to the playoffs |
Last
season the 'Suck for Luck' sweepstakes began and following a disappointing 2-14
season the Colts acquired the number one overall pick; via football not through
the other type of sucking, I'm sure I am not the only one who thought that
campaign name sounded weird. Back to football and one thing the Colts have not
done this season is suck as the team have rallied together after head coach
Chuck Pagano underwent treatment for leukemia to pull off a fairytale story by
going 11-5 on the season with Andrew Luck putting in some spectacular
performances as he starts off creating his own legacy in Indianapolis. By going
11-5 the Colts have made the playoffs and will go on the road to face the
Baltimore Ravens this weekend with a very good chance of making the divisional
round. A win for the Colts would almost certainly match them up against former
quarterback Peyton Manning and his new team the Denver Broncos. Of course
everyone knows Manning was released when injured to pave the way for Andrew
Luck to start the rebuilding process for the franchise as the team's new
quarterback. A 28-16 week 17 win over divisional rivals the Texans has proved they
can compete against the best and on their day Andrew Luck and these young Colts
could beat anyone. Fellow rookies T.Y. Hilton, Donnie Avery and Vick Ballard
have also been very impressive for the Colts on offense in their first seasons
as pros. The Colts offensive line has also held up and their defense has slowly
improved week by week as well as producing big plays when it matters. The Colts
are lucky to have Andrew Luck as he is something special and has come in to the
league showing great pocket presence, arm strength and also great on the run to
the surprise of some. He set a variety of rookie records this season such as the
most passing yards by a rookie quarterback in a single season throwing for
4,374 yards. He threw 23 touchdowns on the season and scored 5 touchdowns
himself. Luck also got the most game-winning drives by a rookie quarterback
with 7, the most fourth quarter comebacks by a rookie quarterback with 6
including the last second touchdown in Detroit, the most wins by a number 1
pick in his rookie season with 11 and when the Colts got to 8 wins on the
season he became the first rookie QB to achieve this feat. Will the pressure of
the playoffs get to Luck well I doubt that as he showed composure all season
long and even I predicted the Colts to get to 9 wins at the start of the season
which many laughed at but as we know they surpassed that and have gone on to be
the surprise package of the season. Come Sunday against the Ravens the
Indianapolis playoff run will begin with a win over Baltimore and they may even
pull off a shock in Denver with the emotion of a game against his former team
getting too much for Manning setting up Luck vs Brady part 2 in the AFC title
game.
Cincinnati Bengals
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| Will the smiles in Cincinnati continue in the playoffs |
By going
10-6 the Cincinnati Bengals reached the playoffs for the second successive
season and set up a wild card week matchup against the Houston Texans. The two
met at this stage of the post-season last year and the Texans defeated them
31-10 but the Bengals go in to this match full of confidence following three
successive wins. Houston on the other hand are have lost their last two and
slipped from first seeds to third on the last week of the season so this
matchup could be a close one. Any success the Bengals hope of having in the
playoffs will come down to three players. First up is second year quarterback
Andy Dalton who has had a very good season throwing over 3,500 passing yards
for 27 touchdowns; Dalton became one of three players in NFL history with at
least 20 touchdown passes in each of his first two seasons along with Peyton
Manning and Dan Marino. Dalton continued his good partnership with wide
receiver A.J. Green this season who also had a good second season as a pro as
he racked up 1,350 receiving yards along with 11 touchdown receptions. Finally
the third key player in this team is on defense and his name is Gino Atkins;
the defensive tackle had 12.5 sacks on the season and can produce big plays
when it matters. If these three guys can get it going the Bengals could get a
road win against Houston. Regardless of the result this franchise has improved
drastically over recent years and that is great to say as they can take a lot
of pride away from this season as the team continues to grow.
AFC title
game prediction:
1.
Indianapolis Colts vs New England Patriots
or 2. New
England Patriots vs Denver Broncos
It is
bold to rule out three of the six playoff teams but the majority of
people think that the AFC championship game will be contested in Denver at Mile
High between the Broncos and the New England Patriots. The Colts and Bengals
could easily pull off shocks that won't be so shocking in wild card weekend; if
that was to happen then I see the Colts losing to the Patriots along with the
Broncos defeating the Bengals to set up the dream matchup in the AFC. That is the
most likely AFC title game but in the playoffs there is always some sort of
shock and I see the Colts beating the Ravens this weekend then the apprentice
Andrew Luck defeating the master Peyton Manning to take Indianapolis to an AFC
title game at Gillette Stadium against the Patriots who in this scenario defeat
the Houston Texans in the wildcard round. There are bound to be thrills and
spills this post-season but I think most are in agreement that the most likely
championship game we'll see will be between the Patriots and the Broncos giving
Tom Brady or Peyton Manning another shot at another Lombardi Trophy.
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